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Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

Stephen Nover's Run Line Game of Month + Plus Bonus MLB - 67% MLB!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 26, 2024
Wolves vs Suns
OVER 207½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Defense comes to the forefront during playoff basketball. But there has been too much of a lower adjustment on this total, especially with the Suns returning to Phoenix to host the Timberwolves. This is the lowest total of the series and Phoenix's lowest total of the season.

The tempo has been good for an Over. The teams are running. What hasn't been good is Phoenix's shooting. The Suns shot 49.3 percent from the floor during the regular season. That was the fifth-best in the league. However, the Suns have shot 44.4 percent from the field during the first two games of this season.

Minnesota has been playing good defense. Bradley Beal and especially Devin Booker are due, though, for big games. I look for the Suns to shoot much better at home where the Timberwolves will be far less intimidating. The Timberwolves will get their share of points, too, against an average Suns defense that has trouble defending in the paint.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 26, 2024
Wolves vs Suns
Suns
-4 -110 at SC Consensus
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Down 2-0 in the series and fresh from hearing Minnesota fans screaming, "Wolves in four! Wolves in four," I expect a monster effort here from the Suns.

Phoenix won all three regular season games against the Timberwolves. The Suns won those games by an average of 15.7 points.

But the Suns have struggled against the Timberwolves during the first two games of this playoff series with both games being in Minnesota. Now, though, the Suns are back in Phoenix in must-win mode.

Devin Booker and Bradley Beal are overdue for big performances especially Booker.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 26, 2024
Royals vs Tigers
Tigers
-111 at YouWager
Lost
$111.0
Play Type: Premium

The Royals and Tigers are two of the most improved teams in baseball. I slightly favor the Tigers' pitching matchup with promising Reese Olson against Seth Lugo, a mediocre journeyman.

But why I really like the home Tigers here is the situation. Detroit was idle on Thursday, while the Royals had to sit out nearly a four-hour rain delay in nipping the Blue Jays, 2-1, at home on Thursday. The game was finally called after five innings.

Detroit has underrated pitching. Olson has pitched better than his 0-3 record and 3.80 ERA. The Tigers' hitting has picked up recently. Detroit has scored four or more runs in seven of its last eight games.

Lugo has pitched well to open the season going 3-1 with a 2.03 ERA. I see regression coming, though.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 27, 2024
Cavs vs Magic
Magic
-130 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
The Magic are a young, inexperienced playoff team that desperately needed a confidence boost after losing the first two games of the series to Cleveland on the road. The Magic got that this past Thursday when they came home and buried the Cavaliers, 121-83.  I see the Magic riding that confidence and swagger rewarding their home crowd with another victory. The Magic gave up fewer points per game than the Cavaliers during the regular season, ranking fourth. Orlando's offense has improved during each game of the series.  The key, though, was the Magic's domination on the boards. Orlando outrebounded the Cavaliers, 51-32, in the last game.
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.